Public report updated Oct 5, 2026, 1:53 PM CDT · Last data check Oct 5, 2026, 1:53 PM CDT
Bitcoin Market Behaviorupdated
Bitcoin's UTC-day decline is unusually large for this hour
ANOMALY SCORE52/100notable
Kraken XBT/USD moved -1.25% through the latest completed hourly candle.
WHY IT MATTERS
A price move that is large for this point in the day can signal an abrupt change in demand, supply, liquidity, or risk appetite. It does not establish what caused the move or what happens next.
XBT/USD moved -1.25% from the UTC-day open through 18:00 UTC.
Observed Oct 5, 2026, 1:00 PM CDT
Baseline
Median absolute XBT/USD movement through the same 18 completed UTC hours across 29 prior days.
29 comparable prior UTC days
Comparison
1.25% absolute movement ÷ 0.6% median absolute movement = 2.08× normal. Percentile 69; z-score 0.12.
Percentile 69 · z-score 0.12
Original Source
KrakenKraken Public OHLC API · source time Oct 5, 2026, 1:00 PM CDT · retrieved Oct 5, 2026, 1:53 PM CDT
Methodology
Bitcoin Neon compares today's move only with prior moves measured through the same number of completed UTC hours. The latest uncommitted Kraken candle is excluded.
Attribution
Observed directly in Kraken's XBT/USD spot market. This does not represent every Bitcoin venue.
Interpretation
The movement may warrant attention because it is unusually large for the measurement time. Direction beyond the observation window is uncertain.
Bitcoin Neon interpretation—not established fact or a trading recommendation.
02
DATA AVAILABILITY
What Bitcoin Neon Monitors
LIVE
Bitcoin Market Behavior
Kraken XBT/USD hourly price and spot volume, normalized by time of day.
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MANUAL
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MANUAL
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